Nikkei 225
Our estimateAs of Oct 21, 2026 · UTC
| When | Score | Change to now | Band |
|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 45 | — | Neutral |
| 1 day ago | 43 | +2 | Fear |
| 1 week ago | 72 | −27 | Greed |
| 1 month ago | 67 | −22 | Greed |
| 3 months ago | 58 | −13 | Greed |
FEAR & GREED INDEX
Our sentiment estimate derived from Nikkei 225 daily prices. This is not the Nikkei price level or an official Nikkei sentiment index.
As of Oct 21, 2026 · UTC
| When | Score | Change to now | Band |
|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 45 | — | Neutral |
| 1 day ago | 43 | +2 | Fear |
| 1 week ago | 72 | −27 | Greed |
| 1 month ago | 67 | −22 | Greed |
| 3 months ago | 58 | −13 | Greed |
Based on each market's latest reading. Dates and methods may differ.
Previous daily reading (Oct 20, 2026): +2 pts
Band change: Fear → Neutral
As of Oct 21, 2026 · UTCWithin available history; missing dates and market holidays are not counted.
Apr 23, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026
Based on up to the latest 120 observations, regardless of the selected chart period. This is not a return forecast.
Market timestamp: Oct 21, 2026, 09:00 AM GMT+9 · Previous observation: Oct 20, 2026, 09:00 AM GMT+9
Of the five factors, 252-session price position is highest at 68.77 and 20-session trend is lowest at 14.57. That spread is what shapes today's score.
The largest upward contribution since the previous observation came from 125-session momentum (+1.13 points).
The largest downward contribution since the previous observation came from 14-session RSI (-0.42 points).
| Factor | Value (0–100) | Weight | Score contribution | Value change | Contribution change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125-session momentumClose relative to its 125-session average | 42.58 | 30% | 12.78 | +3.77 | +1.13 |
| 252-session price positionPosition between the trailing 252-session low and high | 68.77 | 20% | 13.75 | +2.08 | +0.42 |
| Inverse volatility scoreInverted rank of 20-session realized volatility across 252 samples | 41.67 | 25% | 10.42 | -0.79 | -0.2 |
| 14-session RSISimple average gains and losses over the last 14 price changes | 42.48 | 15% | 6.37 | -2.8 | -0.42 |
| 20-session trendClose relative to its 20-session average | 14.57 | 10% | 1.46 | +7.8 | +0.78 |
Unrounded weighted sum 44.77 → displayed 45. Integer rounding shifts up to 0.5 points; table decimals can change the row sum.
Contribution = value × weight; change compares the previous observation. Arithmetic attribution, not an economic cause or trading basis.
Market timestamp: Oct 21, 2026, 09:00 AM GMT+9
The Neutral band spans 45–55; today sits at 45 within it.
The current Neutral run spans at least 1 observations so far.
The last observed entry into this band was on Oct 21, 2026.
Neutral accounts for 18.9% (410) of available observations.
Longest observed run in this band: 13 observations · May 9, 2019 to May 27, 2019.
Band sample: 2,169 observations · Nov 29, 2017 to Oct 21, 2026, including the current observation.
Observation counts are not calendar days (closures and gaps are indistinguishable). Runs touching a record boundary are minimum counts.
Market timestamp: Oct 21, 2026, 09:00 AM GMT+9
Past observations below 45: 23.02% (499).
Observations tied with this score: 1.52% (33).
Comparison sample: 2,168 observations · Nov 29, 2017 to Oct 20, 2026. The current market date is excluded; percentages depend on the available period.
Our price-based sentiment estimate. Historical scores use the same formula. This is not an official index or a price quote.
We calculate a sentiment estimate from Yahoo Finance daily prices: distance from the 125-day moving average (30%), position in the trailing 252-session high/low range (20%), inverse percentile of 20-session volatility (25%), 14-session RSI (15%), and distance from the 20-day moving average (10%). Scores are normalized to 0–100. Historical scores use the same formula and are published only after all lookback windows are complete. These are our estimates, not official sentiment indices; the weights have not been validated as trading signals.
Our sentiment estimate derived from Nikkei 225 daily prices. This is not the Nikkei price level or an official Nikkei sentiment index.
Our price-based sentiment estimate. Historical scores use the same formula. This is not an official index or a price quote.
No. This is a sentiment score. Check the date on the card; source updates and market holidays affect when values change.
No. Sentiment does not reliably identify turning points. Our estimates are descriptive measures and have not been validated to predict returns.